Earnings

Is Now the Right Moment to Reassess NetApp After Its Latest Earnings Jump?

If you’re thinking about what to do with NetApp stock right now, you’re not alone. The company’s recent journey has left many investors pausing to consider their next move. After some sharp runs in previous years, NetApp closed at $121.82 most recently. Over the past week, the stock gained 2.8%, which followed a relatively calm month at just 0.5%. So far this year, NetApp is up 5.1%, but if you zoom out, the full picture is even more interesting. The stock has more than doubled in three years, boasting gains of 109.2%, and is up an eye-catching 194.5% over five years, though last year it slipped slightly by 2.3%.

These performance swings come against a backdrop of shifting market preferences. Investors have been reevaluating tech hardware names amid changing narratives about infrastructure, storage demand, and AI-driven data centers. NetApp has often found itself in the middle of this debate, and the recent price action suggests that the market is beginning to re-rate its prospects and risks.

With a valuation score of 5 (out of a possible 6), NetApp ticks the box for undervaluation across most major checks. That’s a strong signal that this company might be flying under the radar for value-oriented investors. In the next section, we’ll break down exactly how those valuation scores are calculated, and why traditional metrics might not tell the whole story. There may be an even smarter way to think about NetApp’s value that we’ll get to by the end of the article.

Why NetApp is lagging behind its peers

A Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model estimates a company’s intrinsic value by projecting future cash flows and discounting them back to today’s dollars. This approach helps investors determine what a company is worth, based on its ability to generate cash in the years ahead rather than on market hype or recent earnings.

For NetApp, analysts and modelers look at its Free Cash Flow (FCF), which currently sits at $1.65 billion. Over the next few years, cash flow is projected to steadily increase, with analyst estimates reaching $1.91 billion by 2028. In addition, independent extrapolations see ten-year FCF growing to about $2.5 billion in 2035, supported by consistent year-over-year growth, albeit at slightly moderating rates.

Based on these forecasts, the DCF analysis assigns NetApp an intrinsic fair value of $178.99 per share. This suggests the current share price is about 31.9% below its projected worth, indicating that the stock is significantly undervalued compared to its long-term cash-generating potential.

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