Reassessing Valuation as Soracaya Project Advances Toward Full Production
Santacruz Silver Mining (TSXV:SCZ) just took a big step forward at its Soracaya Project in Bolivia. The company is moving closer to full production by advancing its permitting process and finalizing the preliminary mine plan.
See our latest analysis for Santacruz Silver Mining.
Momentum has been strong for Santacruz Silver Mining, with a nine-fold year-to-date share price return of 633.33%, driven by excitement around key milestones at its Bolivian project. While there was a sharp dip of 16.35% in the last day, the 436.59% total shareholder return over the past year signals investors are still upbeat about the company’s longer-term growth potential.
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With the share price still well below analyst targets and a sizeable intrinsic discount, the question for investors now is whether Santacruz Silver Mining has more upside or if the market has already priced in the company’s future growth.
Santacruz Silver Mining’s shares are currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 9.3x, which positions the stock as attractively valued compared to its market peers. With the last close at CA$2.20 and healthy profitability, the valuation signals that the market may be underestimating the company’s outlook.
The price-to-earnings ratio measures how much investors are willing to pay today for each dollar of the company’s earnings. A lower P/E can suggest either that investors expect lower future earnings growth or that the stock is undervalued relative to peers, especially in an industry where growth and profitability are important drivers of value.
Not only is Santacruz Silver Mining’s multiple well below its direct peer average of 46.2x, it is also materially lower than the broader Canadian Metals and Mining industry average of 22.5x. This sharp discount raises questions about market sentiment. Are investors being overly cautious, or is Santacruz genuinely a bargain?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 9.3x (UNDERVALUED)
However, unexpected regulatory delays or a downturn in silver prices could quickly shift sentiment and challenge the current bullish outlook for Santacruz Silver Mining.
Find out about the key risks to this Santacruz Silver Mining narrative.
Looking from another angle, our DCF model pegs Santacruz Silver Mining’s fair value at CA$5.07. This is more than double the current market price of CA$2.20. This method suggests the stock could be even more undervalued than the P/E multiple alone implies, raising the question of whether the market is overlooking potential upside.