Earnings

Will Rising Earnings Estimates and Holiday Strategy Shift Macy’s (M) Long-Term Investment Narrative?

  • In recent weeks, Macy’s has garnered attention as its earnings estimates have risen 5.1% and analysts have assigned it top value and momentum ratings, citing attractive valuation ratios relative to peers. The company has also unveiled an extensive holiday marketing campaign, headlined by its “100 Days to Christmas” initiative and curated experiential events in flagship stores.

  • This combination of a stronger earnings outlook and proactive holiday planning sets Macy’s apart amid broader retail competition, highlighting both operational momentum and a focus on consumer engagement.

  • We’ll now examine how Macy’s upgraded analyst outlook and value positioning may shape its long-term investment narrative.

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To own Macy’s stock right now, investors must trust in the company’s ability to balance value with resilience as the retail sector adapts to shifting consumer habits and industry headwinds. The recent uptick in analyst earnings estimates and Macy’s strong value and momentum ratings have sharpened the spotlight on the holidays as the key short-term catalyst. For risk, Macy’s ongoing struggle with the consumer transition to e-commerce, despite digital investments, remains a central, unresolved challenge, and this news does little to alter that underlying concern.

Among Macy’s recent updates, the “100 Days to Christmas” campaign best aligns with imminent growth catalysts. This multi-month effort leverages store events and experiential flagship markets to drive seasonal traffic and engagement, aiming to reinforce Macy’s positioning during the crucial fourth quarter and potentially cushion sales against soft store demand and intensifying digital retail competition.

However, for investors, it’s worth remembering that while the current momentum is promising, the risk of persistent store-traffic declines remains something you should be aware of if…

Read the full narrative on Macy’s (it’s free!)

Macy’s narrative projects $18.5 billion in revenue and $663.0 million in earnings by 2028. This requires a 6.5% yearly revenue decline and a $169.0 million increase in earnings from $494.0 million.

Uncover how Macy’s forecasts yield a $15.79 fair value, a 10% downside to its current price.

M Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Community fair value estimates for Macy’s range widely from US$15.79 to US$32.00 across four submissions by the Simply Wall St Community. While some see room for significant upside, ongoing pressure from the shift to online shopping could shape results differently than many anticipate.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Macy’s – why the stock might be worth 10% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Companies discussed in this article include M.

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